Cincinnati
W-L: ( 9- 8) PR = 82.9652Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Xavier Big East ( 2-14, 77.0) 17- 9 208 A Marquette Big East ( 9- 7, 86.0) 10-17 213 A Wofford Big South ( 9-10, 76.3) 17- 7 216 H Ohio State Big Ten ( 9- 8, 90.1) 8-19 220 H Central Michigan MAC ( 4-12, 74.4) 14- 6 222 A Robert Morris MAC ( 6-12, 75.4) 9- 3 227 A Vanderbilt AAC ( 8- 9, 85.2) 10-22 301 H Mount St Marys Metro Atlan (10- 7, 81.6) 9- 6 306 A Kent State MAC ( 7-10, 75.9) 13- 7 308 A Eastern Michigan MAC (10- 7, 79.5) 16- 9 312 H Louisville ACC ( 6- 9, 85.9) 10-11 322 H Youngstown State MAC ( 3-13, 72.3) 22- 3 328 A UC Davis Big 12 ( 7- 9, 84.5) 8-15 404 H Arizona State Big 12 ( 8-10, 86.9) 10-17 411 A Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 5-10 418 H Florida Big 12 (15- 4, 93.4) 5-16 424 H San Diego State Big 12 ( 3-13, 79.6) 18- 8
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Xavier 17- 9 8 5 + 3.38
208 A Marquette 10-17 -7 -4 - -2.60
213 A Wofford 17- 7 10 5 ++ 4.71
216 H Ohio State 8-19 -11 -6 -- -5.24
220 H Central Michigan 14- 6 8 10 -1.93
222 A Robert Morris 9- 3 6 6 -0.15
227 A Vanderbilt 10-22 -12 -4 --- -8.41
301 H Mount St Marys 9- 6 3 3 0.31
306 A Kent State 13- 7 6 6 0.26
308 A Eastern Michigan 16- 9 7 2 ++ 4.91
312 H Louisville 10-11 -1 -2 0.60
322 H Youngstown State 22- 3 19 12 1.95
328 A UC Davis 8-15 -7 -3 -- -4.08
404 H Arizona State 10-17 -7 -3 -- -4.38
411 A Colorado 5-10 -5 -12 +++ 7.31
418 H Florida 5-16 -11 -9 -1.91
424 H San Diego State 18- 8 10 5 ++ 5.27
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Vanderbilt 10-22 -12 -4 --- -8.41 216 H Ohio State 8-19 -11 -6 -- -5.24 328 A UC Davis 8-15 -7 -3 -- -4.08 404 H Arizona State 10-17 -7 -3 -- -4.38 208 A Marquette 10-17 -7 -4 - -2.60 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A Colorado 5-10 -5 -12 +++ 7.31 213 A Wofford 17- 7 10 5 ++ 4.71 308 A Eastern Michigan 16- 9 7 2 ++ 4.91 424 H San Diego State 18- 8 10 5 ++ 5.27 206 A Xavier 17- 9 8 5 + 3.38 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Xavier ( 2-14, 77.0) 17- 9 -22.92 17.25 1.37 1.02 37.94
3 A Marquette ( 9- 7, 86.0) 10-17 -13.90 26.27 1.37 1.02 -6.38
3 A Wofford ( 9-10, 76.3) 17- 7 -23.60 16.57 1.37 1.02 36.56
3 H Ohio State ( 9- 8, 90.1) 8-19 -9.80 30.36 -1.37 1.02 -5.69
3 H Central Michig ( 4-12, 74.4) 14- 6 -25.50 14.67 -1.37 1.02 27.10
3 A Robert Morris ( 6-12, 75.4) 9- 3 -24.46 15.71 1.37 1.02 34.81
3 A Vanderbilt ( 8- 9, 85.2) 10-22 -14.71 25.46 1.37 1.02 -6.80
3 H Mount St Marys (10- 7, 81.6) 9- 6 -18.26 21.91 -1.37 1.02 41.86
3 A Kent State ( 7-10, 75.9) 13- 7 -24.04 16.12 1.37 1.02 35.65
3 A Eastern Michig (10- 7, 79.5) 16- 9 -20.39 19.78 1.37 1.02 43.10
3 H Louisville ( 6- 9, 85.9) 10-11 -13.96 26.20 -1.37 1.02 -7.81
3 H Youngstown Sta ( 3-13, 72.3) 22- 3 -27.62 12.55 -1.37 1.02 22.80
3 A UC Davis ( 7- 9, 84.5) 8-15 -15.38 24.79 1.37 1.02 -7.14
3 H Arizona State ( 8-10, 86.9) 10-17 -12.95 27.22 -1.37 1.02 -7.30
3 A Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 5-10 -5.99 34.18 1.37 1.02 -2.36
3 H Florida (15- 4, 93.4) 5-16 -6.48 33.69 -1.37 1.02 -4.00
3 H San Diego Stat ( 3-13, 79.6) 18- 8 -20.30 19.87 -1.37 1.02 37.71
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270.05
|
winning pts = 317.5247 losing points = -47.4768
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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